Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.141383 0.165522 0.192081 0.223408 0.259284 0.299017 0.346285
2026-02-01 0.098594 0.130276 0.168983 0.219448 0.283164 0.360570 0.461315
2026-02-08 0.074962 0.108633 0.153150 0.215658 0.300387 0.410352 0.562808
2026-02-15 0.058007 0.090992 0.137630 0.207315 0.307477 0.444660 0.644783
2026-02-22 0.051138 0.085704 0.137370 0.218597 0.341016 0.516066 0.781940
2026-03-01 0.041825 0.074783 0.126779 0.212623 0.347971 0.549525 0.867417
2026-03-08 0.034214 0.065070 0.116302 0.204848 0.350424 0.575457 0.942804
2026-03-15 0.028718 0.057879 0.108659 0.200222 0.356641 0.606776 1.027982
2026-03-22 0.025554 0.054263 0.106435 0.204110 0.376694 0.660982 1.152783
2026-03-29 0.023557 0.052472 0.107102 0.212908 0.405604 0.731519 1.308975
2026-04-05 0.021238 0.049628 0.105376 0.217032 0.426509 0.790053 1.449299
2026-04-12 0.018852 0.046214 0.102049 0.217643 0.440922 0.838279 1.575255
2026-04-19 0.016624 0.042809 0.098383 0.217370 0.454047 0.885987 1.705302
2026-04-26 0.014465 0.039174 0.093747 0.214619 0.462223 0.925581 1.824282
2026-05-03 0.012552 0.035740 0.089015 0.211008 0.468183 0.961308 1.938534
2026-05-10 0.010597 0.031799 0.082553 0.202838 0.463991 0.977326 2.017064
2026-05-17 0.010145 0.031664 0.084777 0.213900 0.500385 1.073848 2.254028
2026-05-24 0.008738 0.028663 0.079773 0.208043 0.500406 1.098951 2.355177
2026-05-31 0.007437 0.025675 0.074326 0.200420 0.495718 1.114031 2.437386
2026-06-07 0.006464 0.023428 0.070398 0.195885 0.497312 1.141834 2.546559
2026-06-14 0.005966 0.022541 0.069899 0.199696 0.518166 1.211133 2.744383
2026-06-21 0.005701 0.022348 0.071252 0.208322 0.550940 1.307876 3.004728
2026-06-28 0.005286 0.021566 0.070850 0.212366 0.573204 1.383457 3.225330